Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 7.175268 8.428682 9.804960 11.424046 13.272171 15.311371 17.726981
2025-12-28 5.295206 7.036285 9.154261 11.898821 15.337255 19.476711 24.808418
2026-01-04 4.152610 6.093634 8.654567 12.230796 17.037273 23.207974 31.651711
2026-01-11 3.308526 5.291724 8.096810 12.267884 18.207883 26.241195 37.776606
2026-01-18 2.705763 4.676123 7.640756 12.297664 19.267730 29.118776 43.846183
2026-01-25 2.176331 4.050899 7.041565 11.986102 19.733022 31.128862 48.793561
2026-02-01 1.770974 3.538065 6.517402 11.683259 20.123665 32.998022 53.613263
2026-02-08 1.420091 3.044158 5.935536 11.186126 20.117287 34.217050 57.494530
2026-02-15 1.157938 2.657060 5.468573 10.801780 20.220271 35.568930 61.625992
2026-02-22 1.034358 2.514942 5.416088 11.122777 21.517016 38.900248 69.086654
2026-03-01 0.931115 2.393424 5.380910 11.461994 22.862319 42.391207 77.017393
2026-03-08 0.773809 2.120361 5.005230 11.108096 22.923316 43.707548 81.413178
2026-03-15 0.631439 1.859596 4.634081 10.758094 23.037700 45.268067 86.601177
2026-03-22 0.575033 1.797975 4.683714 11.276900 24.875731 50.064801 97.820819
2026-03-29 0.512244 1.704347 4.646134 11.607423 26.379847 54.377254 108.497005
2026-04-05 0.441061 1.568339 4.485137 11.645554 27.295636 57.664831 117.546338
2026-04-12 0.380444 1.445154 4.331416 11.674539 28.186836 60.960767 126.815502
2026-04-19 0.314738 1.285781 4.055087 11.376947 28.348513 62.849048 133.564976
2026-04-26 0.260538 1.145352 3.799479 11.087643 28.488274 64.689067 140.323011
2026-05-03 0.209444 0.996752 3.489284 10.612801 28.154403 65.535140 145.190540
2026-05-10 0.170572 0.877816 3.237545 10.245770 28.019238 66.763454 150.869809
2026-05-17 0.154954 0.845315 3.239527 10.552302 29.497453 71.475125 163.817991
2026-05-24 0.141349 0.816499 3.247592 10.876287 31.046986 76.439918 177.560562